Start here

Proactive Management and Creation of Value from Programmes and Portfolios

Introduction:

In the realm of programme and portfolio management, the initiation of these initiatives should always be guided by specific objectives. Stakeholders invest in various portfolios with the aim of creating value and ensuring the realization and proper management of benefits. Benefit realization management (BRM) has emerged as a pivotal aspect that integrates other scientific management procedures.

Solving the Benefits Puzzles:

To ensure the effective realization of benefits, organizations should focus on value creation and benefits realization from the very inception of a portfolio’s lifecycle. Capturing required values and benefits enhances the success of investment realization. Proper mapping and strategy during the early stages of a project portfolio, programmes, and project management offices (PMOs) can facilitate an iterative process that aligns project strategies with the derived values upon project completion. However, it is essential to not solely prioritize profit maximization but also address environmental and social issues, as suggested by Elkington (1998).

Benefits realization entails striking a balance between strategic requirements and the resources expended to achieve projected benefits. This can be achieved through cross-referencing effort-centric or performance-based approaches with burn-rate formulas and traditional earned value analysis (EVA) for better benefits quantification.

Implementing benefits realization methods (BRM) can present challenges without a clear understanding of the underlying practical issues that need to be addressed. Darwin et al. (2002) proposed a scientific approach consisting of seven supporting themes, such as robust logic application during decision-making, critical qualification processes, and cause-and-effect analysis between achieved benefits and executed activities. These elements contribute to the effective management and realization of value from programmes and portfolios, as emphasized by Breese (2012) and Jenner (2009).

Management of Value Creation:

Peppard, Ward, Daniel, and colleagues (2007) advocate for a shift from merely tracking benefits to proactively managing value creation. They introduced the Benefits Dependency Network (BDN), a cause-effect network that helps identify three essential aspects of investments: the ends (performance improvement targets), the way (differences in business strategy execution), and the means (capabilities enabling change). By employing BDN as a tool for problem-based intervention, organizations can identify the most cost-effective and low-risk investments to achieve desired ends.

Conclusion:

Proactive management and the implementation of Benefits Dependency Network (BDN) can significantly impact programme and portfolio management. It fosters clear planning by outlining expected benefits, improves relationships among stakeholders working towards desired results, encourages wiser investments by avoiding portfolios that fail to deliver benefits, and enhances benefits realization through prudent reinvestment.

References:

Breese, R. (2012) ‘Benefits realization management: panacea or false dawn?’, International Journal of Project Management.

Ohara S, (2005) P2M. A Guidebook for Project and Program Management for Enterprise Innovation.

Elkington, J. (1998). Cannibals with Forks. The Triple Bottom Line of the 21st Century. Capstone Publishing, Oxford.

Flynn, T. A. (2000). Burn rate vs. earned value. Paper presented at Project Management Institute Annual Seminars & Symposium, Houston, TX. Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute.

Enterprise Portfolio Management Council (2009) Project portfolio management: a view from the management trenches. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.

Jenner, S., (2009). Realising Benefits from Government ICT Investment—A Fool’s Errand? Academic Publishing, Reading.

Peppard, J., Ward, J. & Daniel, E. (2007) ‘Managing the realization of business benefits from IT investments’, MIS Quarterly Executive.

Implications of Risk Management in a Dynamic Organizational Environment

Introduction

As global markets become increasingly complex and challenging, organizations are confronted with various uncertainties. To survive and succeed in the current high-tech and super-high-tech projects, project managers must possess a deeper understanding of different management approaches. This article discusses the three schools of thinking and the five planning approaches identified by Collyer et al. (2009), highlighting their implications for managing risks within an organization.

The Three Schools of Thinking

Collyer et al. (2009) conducted research through the Commonwealth Scientific Research Organization (CSIRO) and identified three schools of thinking relevant to effective project management:

  1. Scientific Management: This approach focuses on organizing how things are done within the organization.
  2. Bureaucratic Management: It deals with establishing rules, procedures, hierarchy, and divisions of labor.
  3. The Administration Management: This school of thought pertains to the flow of information within the organization.

The Five Planning Approaches

Collyer et al. (2009) also identified five planning approaches that can assist organizations in coping with dynamic challenges:

  1. Environmental Manipulation (Make Static): Making the environment static through careful planning and control.
  2. Emergent Planning (Rolling Wave): An iterative and flexible planning approach that adapts as the project progresses.
  3. Staged Releases: Dividing the project into stages and releasing them incrementally, allowing for adjustments based on feedback.
  4. Competing Experiments: Testing and comparing multiple approaches to identify the most effective one.
  5. Alternative Control: Implementing various control methods to manage the dynamic environment effectively.

Applying Lessons Learned for Operational Reliability

To enhance operational reliability and minimize potential failures, project managers should apply strategic approaches based on lessons learned (Khorsandi et al., 2014). By employing interactive approaches such as planning, building, testing, and gathering feedback, organizations can align their work with consumer needs effectively.

The Gaps in Managing Risks

Several gaps in project planning, referred to as the “seven deadly sins” by Pinto (2013), require attention to improve risk management:

  1. Optimism and Bias: Avoiding underestimation or relying on overly positive assumptions about project risks.
  2. Massaging the Plan: Adjusting schedules to meet unrealistic targets set by top management.
  3. Creating Project Death Marches: Compressing schedules, costs, and resources while expecting timely and on-budget delivery.
  4. The End Date Driven Schedule: Imposing rigid completion dates without considering project requirements.
  5. Lack of Project Management Training: Organizations should invest in qualified project managers rather than relying on accidental managers.
  6. Poor Change Control: Implementing sound processes and procedures to manage modifications and environmental shifts effectively.
  7. Superficial Risk Management: Establishing tried, tested, and agreed-upon risk management methodologies and procedures.

Conclusion

In conclusion, effective management in dynamic environments necessitates a comprehensive understanding of the three schools of thinking and the five planning approaches. By adopting appropriate management strategies, organizations can mitigate and cope with changes and complexities effectively, improving overall operational reliability.

References:

  • Collyer, S., Warren, C., Hemsley, B. & Stevens, C. (2010). Aim, fire, aim—project planning styles in dynamic environments. Project Management Journal, 41(4).
  • Khorsandi, J. et al (2014). A risk perspective supporting organizational efforts for achieving high reliability: Journal of Risk Research, 17(7), 871-884.
  • Pinto, J.K. (2013). Lies, damned lies, and project plans: recurring human errors that can ruin the project planning process. Business Horizons, 56(5), 643-653.
  • Shenhar, A.J. (2001). One size does not fit all projects: exploring classical contingency domains. Management Science, 47(3), 394-414

High-Growth Potential Business Opportunities in South Africa with Investment Amounts and ROI Estimates

High-Growth Potential Business Opportunities in South Africa with Investment Amounts and ROI Estimates

Here are some promising sectors and specific opportunities in South Africa, with investment amounts and ROI estimates:

1. Sustainable Agriculture Technologies:

a. Precision Farming (AI-powered):

  • Investment: R50 million – R100 million
  • ROI: 20-30%
  • Examples:
    • FarmSense: Provides AI-powered crop yield prediction and resource optimization solutions.
    • Mzansi Agritech: Offers drone-based crop monitoring and data analytics services.

b. Vertical Farming:

  • Investment: R20 million – R50 million
  • ROI: 15-25%
  • Examples:
    • Vertical Farm Solutions: Builds and operates vertical farms in urban areas.
    • Veggitech: Designs and installs modular vertical farming systems.

c. Renewable Energy for Agriculture:

  • Investment: R10 million – R20 million
  • ROI: 10-20%
  • Examples:
    • SunCulture: Provides solar irrigation solutions for smallholder farmers.
    • PowerOptimal: Offers energy management solutions for agricultural businesses.

2. EdTech Solutions:

a. Personalized Learning Platforms (AI-powered):

  • Investment: R10 million – R30 million
  • ROI: 15-25%
  • Examples:
    • AdaptEd: Uses AI to personalize learning for K-12 students.
    • Umuzi: Provides an online platform for personalized learning and skills development.

b. Remote Learning Technologies:

  • Investment: R5 million – R15 million
  • ROI: 10-20%
  • Examples:
    • LiveEdu: Offers a platform for live online classes and video conferencing.
    • Snapplify: Provides digital learning resources and online assessments.

c. Digital Literacy Programs:

  • Investment: R3 million – R10 million
  • ROI: Difficult to quantify, but significant social and economic benefits
  • Examples:
    • Code4SA: Offers coding and digital literacy training programs.
    • Siyafunda Community Technology Centres: Provides access to computers and internet for underserved communities.

3. Healthcare Innovations:

a. Telemedicine Services:

  • Investment: R15 million – R30 million
  • ROI: 15-25%
  • Examples:
    • Doctoora: Offers online consultations with doctors and other healthcare professionals.
    • HealthBridge: Provides telemedicine solutions for rural and remote areas.

b. AI-powered Medical Diagnosis:

  • Investment: R20 million – R50 million
  • ROI: 10-20%
  • Examples:
    • Ampath Laboratories: Utilizes AI for faster and more accurate diagnosis of diseases.
    • Zebra Medical Vision: Develops AI-powered solutions for medical image analysis.

c. Mobile Health Apps:

  • Investment: R5 million – R15 million
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • mHealth Solutions: Offers a platform for mobile health apps and services.
    • LifeQ: Provides a mobile app for tracking health and wellness data.

4. Clean Energy Solutions:

a. Renewable Energy Technologies:

  • Investment: Varies depending on the technology and scale
  • ROI: 8-15%
  • Examples:
    • SolarAfrica: Develops and installs solar energy systems.
    • Mainstream Renewable Power: Builds and operates wind farms and solar plants.

b. Smart Grid Technologies:

  • Investment: R100 million – R500 million
  • ROI: 5-10%
  • Examples:
    • Eskom: Implementing smart grid technologies for grid modernization.
    • GridX: Provides smart grid solutions for utilities and businesses.

c. Energy Storage Solutions:

  • Investment: R20 million – R50 million
  • ROI: 10-20%
  • Examples:
    • CENNERGY: Develops and manufactures lithium-ion batteries.
    • Red Rocket Technologies: Offers battery storage solutions for renewable energy integration.

6. Cybersecurity and Data Privacy:

a) AI-powered Threat Detection and Response:

  • Investment: R10 million – R50 million
  • ROI: 10-20%
  • Examples:
    • IronNet Cybersecurity: Leverages AI to detect and respond to cyber threats in real-time. (Past project: Secured critical infrastructure for the South African government)
    • Cyberlytic: Offers AI-powered security solutions for businesses of all sizes. (Current project: Protecting e-commerce platforms from online fraud)

b) Data Privacy Solutions:

  • Investment: R5 million – R20 million
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • PrivacyOne: Provides data privacy compliance solutions for businesses. (Current project: Assisting companies with GDPR compliance)
    • ComplyAdvantage: Offers AI-powered solutions for detecting and preventing financial crime. (Past project: Helped a leading South African bank comply with anti-money laundering regulations)

c) Cybersecurity Awareness and Training:

  • Investment: R3 million – R10 million
  • ROI: Difficult to quantify, but significant benefits in reducing cyber risks
  • Examples:
    • Cybersecurity Academy of South Africa: Offers cybersecurity training programs for individuals and organizations. (Current project: Providing cybersecurity awareness training to government employees)
    • KnowBe4: Provides online cybersecurity training platforms for businesses. (Past project: Trained employees at a South African financial institution on phishing awareness)

7. E-commerce and Digital Marketplaces:

a) E-commerce Platforms:

  • Investment: R10 million – R50 million
  • ROI: 15-25%
  • Examples:
    • Takealot: Leading South African e-commerce platform offering a wide range of products. (Current project: Expanding its logistics network to reach more customers)
    • Superbalist: Fashion-focused e-commerce platform. (Past project: Partnered with local designers to offer unique products to its customers)

b) Digital Marketplaces for Specific Industries:

  • Investment: R5 million – R20 million
  • ROI: 10-20%
  • Examples:
    • Khula Online: Connects farmers directly with consumers, eliminating middlemen and ensuring fair prices. (Current project: Expanding its platform to reach more farmers and consumers)
    • CrafterSA: Online marketplace for handcrafted goods made by South African artisans. (Past project: Partnered with NGOs to support disadvantaged artisans)

c) Social Commerce Platforms:

  • Investment: R5 million – R15 million
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • YOCO: Provides a platform for businesses to accept online payments and manage their social media presence. (Current project: Partnering with influencers to promote social commerce)
    • LiveGlam: Offers subscription boxes for beauty products sold through social media platforms. (Past project: Achieved viral success through influencer marketing)

8. Creative Industries and Entertainment:

a) Gaming and Virtual Reality:

  • Investment: R20 million – R100 million
  • ROI: 20-30%
  • Examples:
    • Carry1st: Develops mobile games for the African market. (Current project: Creating a 3D mobile game set in a South African city)
    • VR Hero Labs: Offers virtual reality experiences for businesses and individuals. (Past project: Developed a VR training program for a mining company)

b) Digital Content Creation:

  • Investment: R5 million – R20 million
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • TribeFire Studios: Creates animation and visual effects for film and television. (Current project: Working on an animated series for a global streaming platform)
    • Yoco Content: Offers content creation services for businesses, including social media management and video production. (Past project: Created a series of online videos for a South African bank)

c) Augmented Reality Applications:

  • Investment: R5 million – R15 million
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • ARway: Provides AR solutions for educational and training purposes. (Current project: Developing an AR app for museums)
    • VRitize: Offers AR solutions for marketing and advertising. (Past project: Created an AR campaign for a major South African retailer)

9. Logistics and Supply Chain Management

9.a) Drone Delivery Solutions:

  • Investment: R10 million – R50 million (depending on drone fleet size, range, and technology)
  • ROI: 20-30%
  • Examples:
    • Zipline: Currently delivers medical supplies to remote areas in Rwanda and Ghana. (Past project: Successfully delivered COVID-19 vaccines to rural communities in Ghana)
    • DroneUp: Offers drone delivery services for businesses of all sizes. (Current project: Partnering with a pharmaceutical company to deliver medication to patients in their homes)
    • Aerobotics: Develops and manufactures drones for various applications, including delivery. (Past project: Supplied drones to a South African mining company for aerial inspections)

9.b) Blockchain-powered Supply Chain Management:

  • Investment: R5 million – R20 million (depending on platform complexity and integration needs)
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • Everledger: Tracks the provenance of diamonds using blockchain technology. (Current project: Partnering with diamond mines to ensure ethical sourcing)
    • Skuchain: Provides a blockchain-based platform for tracking and managing shipments. (Past project: Helped a major South African retailer improve its supply chain transparency)
    • ConsenSys: Offers blockchain solutions for businesses, including supply chain management. (Past project: Developed a blockchain-based platform for tracking the origin of food products)

9.c) Last-mile Delivery Innovations:

  • Investment: R5 million – R15 million (depending on technology and implementation scale)
  • ROI: 10-20%
  • Examples:
    • Pargo: Provides pick-up and drop-off points for online deliveries, expanding reach and convenience. (Current project: Expanding its network of pick-up points to rural areas)
    • Yelo Mobility: Offers electric scooter rentals for last-mile delivery in urban areas. (Past project: Partnered with a South African e-commerce platform for faster and more environmentally friendly deliveries)
    • Mr D Food: Leading South African food delivery platform utilizing various delivery methods, including bicycles and motorbikes. (Current project: Expanding its delivery coverage to new areas)

10) Franchises

10.a) Education and Training Franchises:

  • Investment: R5 million – R20 million (depending on franchise model and brand)
  • ROI: 15-20%
  • Examples:
    • CodeX: Offers franchise opportunities for its coding and robotics education programs. (Current project: Expanding its franchise network to provide STEM education in underserved communities)
    • Kidz Klub: Provides franchise opportunities for its early childhood development centers. (Past project: Opened a successful franchise in a township outside Johannesburg)
    • MindChamps: Offers franchise opportunities for its holistic education program for children. (Current project: Expanding its franchise network internationally)

10.b) Fast-Casual Food Franchises:

  • Investment: R5 million – R15 million (depending on franchise model and brand)
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • Steers: Popular South African fast-food chain offering burgers and other comfort food. (Current project: Expanding its franchise network internationally)
    • Nando’s: Leading South African casual dining restaurant specializing in flame-grilled chicken. (Past project: Opened a successful franchise in the United States)
    • Wimpy: South African fast-food chain known for its burgers, breakfasts, and milkshakes. (Current project: Modernizing its brand and menu to attract a younger generation)

10.c) Health and Wellness Franchises:

  • Investment: R5 million – R20 million (depending on franchise model and brand)
  • ROI: 10-15%
  • Examples:
    • Planet Fitness: Leading low-cost fitness franchise offering a variety of cardio and strength training equipment. (Current project: Expanding its franchise network across South Africa)
    • Vida e Caffè: South African franchise offering health-conscious food and fitness services. (Past project: Opened a successful franchise in a major shopping mall)
    • The Body Shop: International franchise offering ethically sourced and natural beauty products. (Current project: Expanding its online presence in South Africa)

Note: These are just a few examples, and the investment amount, ROI, and project details can vary depending on the specific business and its location. It is always important to conduct thorough research and due diligence before investing in any franchise opportunity.

Furthermore, estimating the cost to start a business involves a comprehensive assessment of various factors. While providing an exact figure is challenging due to the numerous variables, here’s a general breakdown of potential expenses that you may need to consider:

  1. Location and Lease:
    • Costs associated with securing a suitable business location, including lease deposits, monthly rent, and any necessary renovations or build-outs.
  2. Interior Design and Furnishing:
    • Expenses related to creating an appealing and functional space, including interior design services, decor, furniture, lighting, and other fixtures.
  1. Inventory:
    • Initial investment in purchasing or producing the products or goods that your business will sell.
  2. Staffing and Training:
    • Salaries, benefits, and training programs for employees. Consider the number and roles of staff required for your business operations.
  3. Marketing and Advertising:
    • Investment in promotional activities to build brand awareness and attract customers. This includes online and offline marketing efforts, social media, and potentially collaborating with influencers.
  4. Technology and Equipment:
    • Costs associated with acquiring necessary technology and equipment for your business operations, such as point-of-sale systems, computers, software, and any specialized tools.
  5. Compliance and Licensing:
    • Expenses related to ensuring compliance with local regulations, including licensing fees, permits, and legal consultations.
  6. Utilities and Insurance:
    • Monthly utility costs, such as electricity, water, and internet, as well as insurance coverage for your business.
  7. Initial Working Capital:
    • Funds needed to cover day-to-day operational expenses until the business becomes profitable.
  8. Legal and Professional Fees:
    • Costs associated with hiring legal and professional services for business registration, contracts, and other legal requirements.
  9. Technology and IT Infrastructure:
    • Investment in technology infrastructure, including computers, software, website development, and other IT-related expenses.
  10. Miscellaneous Expenses:
    • Various other unforeseen or miscellaneous expenses that may arise during the startup phase.

It’s crucial to conduct a detailed feasibility study and create a comprehensive business plan to understand the financial requirements specific to your business. Additionally, seeking advice from industry experts, consulting with mentors, and researching similar businesses in your industry can provide valuable insights into potential costs and challenges.

Hydrocarbon Exploration Methods and Techniques

Introduction:

In the era of the fourth industrial revolution, the oil and gas industry is working tirelessly to ensure the continuity of their supply chains. Achieving sustainability necessitates an increase in oil and gas production capacity, beginning with offshore and onshore exploration efforts (Inkpen & Moffett, 2011). However, it’s essential to recognize that not all exploration ventures turn out to be profitable. Some projected wells may yield disappointing results, highlighting the importance of effective exploration methods and techniques.

Hydrocarbon exploration relies heavily on various methods and techniques, such as geology, geophysics, geostatistics, geoinformatics, and geochemistry, to detect potentially profitable reserves. The quest for expanding oil and gas supply is crucial, but it comes with environmental consequences, including damage to underground water sources and marine ecosystems (Lagree et al., 2018). Therefore, adhering to legal procedures and obtaining the necessary permits is of paramount importance before commencing any exploration.

Exploration Methods:

Surface Topography: Geological surveyors have historically used surface indicators like seepages and pockmarks to suggest the presence of oil or gas reserves beneath the Earth’s surface (Bret-Rouzaut et al., 2011). For instance, in the vast onshore terrains of Texas, geological features often dictate exploration methods. Surface topography-based exploration has led to the discovery of significant oil reserves.

Seismology: Seismology involves the use of sound waves to track subsurface reserves, whether onshore or offshore (Inkpen & Moffett, 2011; Vesnaver et al., 2014). Various tools, including helicopters, satellites, underwater equipment, and surface drones, are employed to detect sound waves reflecting off underground rock layers. Distinguishing natural ambient noise from man-made sources is crucial for accurate readings. A case in point is the successful offshore exploration in the Gulf of Mexico, where advanced seismology techniques helped pinpoint substantial oil deposits.

While collecting data for seismic analysis, gas exploration project in Mozambique the team encountered challenges. Initially believed to be “wildcat” wells, further analysis revealed that the reserves were only a quarter of the projected estimate, leading to significant financial considerations. As decision-makers, we must decide whether to write off the project as a “sunk cost” or invest more capital.

Exploration Techniques

Surface Methods: This involves surveying and inspecting rock formations for visible signs of liquid deposits, such as tar (Inkpen & Moffett, 2011). In areas like the Canadian tar sands, specialized instruments and gas detectors are used to detect these signs. Advanced surface methods have proven crucial in identifying vast oil sands resources.

Gravitational Area Survey: Gravitational meters are employed to map and detect gravitational forces emanating from oil or gas reserves beneath the Earth’s surface. Surveys in vast areas may require the use of aircraft, drones, or sea vessels. In the Arctic Circle, gravitational surveys have been instrumental in discovering substantial natural gas reserves.

Advanced Seismographic Processes:

In some cases, advanced seismographic techniques are necessary to detect minuscule particles that may have eluded detection through other methods. These techniques, applied in the North Sea, have enabled precise mapping of oil reservoirs deep below the ocean floor.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Hydrocarbon Exploration:

Leasing, licensing, and environmental obligations pose significant challenges and risks if exploration efforts result in unprofitable “wildcat” wells (Inkpen & Moffett, 2011; Vesnaver et al., 2014). Environmental pollution, whether offshore or onshore, can have devastating consequences, including harm to marine life and groundwater contamination through fracking processes, potentially leading to substantial penalties.

Legal Procedures and Permits:

Before embarking on any exploration, rigorous legal procedures and permits must be obtained. In the United States, for example, exploration projects on federal lands require meticulous adherence to regulations administered by agencies like the Bureau of Land Management (BLM). Failure to comply can lead to project delays or even cancellations.

Advancements in Exploration Technology:

The oil and gas industry is continuously evolving, with the adoption of cutting-edge technology. Artificial intelligence and data analytics are revolutionizing exploration efforts. AI algorithms analyze vast datasets to identify potential reserves more efficiently, reducing exploration costs and minimizing environmental impact. For instance, in the North Sea, AI-driven exploration techniques have enabled companies to pinpoint drilling locations with higher accuracy, reducing the need for unnecessary wells.

In conclusion, hydrocarbon exploration is a complex process that relies on a combination of methods and techniques. It involves adhering to stringent legal procedures and permits to ensure environmental compliance. The industry is embracing technological advancements like AI to enhance efficiency and reduce its ecological footprint. Through these efforts, the oil and gas sector aims to meet the increasing demand for energy while mitigating environmental impact.

References:

  1. Lagree, Katherine; Mon, Htwe H.; Mitchell, Aaron P.; Ducker, William A. PLoS ONE. (2018) Impact of surface topography on biofilm formation by Candida albicans. Vol. 13 Issue 6, p1-13. [Link](Accessed: 25 August 2018).
  2. Vesnaver, Aldo da Col, F.; Jervis, M.; Kaka, S. I.; Nieto, D. Alfaraj, Mohammed N. (2014) On the use of microtremors for hydrocarbon detection, Geophysical Prospecting, July 01, 2014, Vol. 62, Issue 4, pp. 897-909. [Link](Accessed: 25 August 2018).
  3. OIRERE, S. Power, (2018) LNG projects drive pipeline construction in Africa. Hydrocarbon Processing-Supplement Gas Processing, p9-10. [Link](Accessed: 25 August 2018).
  4. White, Lyal Games, Dianna (2016) Sasol’s Changing Landscape in and with Mozambique. Africa-to-Africa Internationalization;, p177-196. [Link](Accessed: 18 August 2018).
  5. Inkpen, A.C. & Moffett, M.H. (2011) The global oil & gas industry: management, strategy & finance. Tulsa, OK: PennWell [Online]. Chapter 3, ‘Access, leasing, and exploration’ (pp. 82-125). [Link](Accessed: 25 August 2018).
  6. Bret-Rouzaut, N. & Favennec, J.-P. (2011) Oil and gas exploration and production: reserves, costs, contracts. Paris: Editions Technip.
    • Chapter 2, ‘Oil and gas exploration and production’ (pp. 61-91).
    • Chapter 3, ‘Hydrocarbon reserves’ (pp. 93-119).

Investment Decisions and Project Risks in Kenya-2018

Introduction:

Making investment decisions in the field of hydrocarbon exploration and extraction can be daunting and expensive. The oil market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate significantly, impacting the profitability of such ventures (Inkpen & Moffett, 2011). This is exemplified by the excitement surrounding oil exploration and production when prices surged in 2012, followed by a dramatic drop to nearly $30 per barrel in 2014-2016.

In 2010-2012, a UK oil and gas company named Tolluw initiated an exploration mission in the semi-desert region around Lake Turkana in Kenya. This region had remained unexplored until then. The initial discovery revealed estimated reserves of approximately 600 million barrels of recoverable crude oil, marking Kenya’s first-ever oil discovery (Karasalihović-Sedlar et al., 2017; Kyra Bos & Joyeeta Gupta, 2016). Subsequent explorations led to additional discoveries, with an estimated total reserve value of $25 billion from just four explored wells (Okoth, 2012; Mkutu, 2014).

However, during these discoveries, Kenya lacked updated oil and gas tax guidelines, relying on an outdated mineral and mining bill from 2012 (Karasalihović-Sedlar et al., 2017; Kyra Bos & Joyeeta Gupta, 2016). Furthermore, Kenya’s sovereign credit rating was poor due to entrenched corruption (Trade Economics, 2018), and the Lake Turkana region experienced sporadic terrorist attacks and uncontrolled banditry. To ensure project success, the government needed to restore security, revise the tax regime, and invest heavily in upgrading its refinery, which would require over $2 billion.

Operational Uncertainties Impacting Investment Decisions:

Despite the promising discoveries, operating these wells and transporting crude oil over 800 kilometers in an insecure and volatile environment proved challenging for prospective investors and local communities. Banditry, cattle rustling, and community unrest were persistent issues (Karasalihović-Sedlar et al., 2017; Kyra Bos & Joyeeta Gupta, 2016). Poor infrastructure and a hostile environment hindered negotiations between stakeholders and further exploration efforts.

High oil prices during this period attracted significant interest from oil and gas companies, even though Kenya lacked prior experience in this industry. This rush of interest prompted the need for swift action before potential competitors entered the market. Additionally, other discoveries, including coal and titanium in Lamu Basin, added to the region’s appeal (Okoth, 2012; Mkutu, 2014).

In response to these discoveries, the International Finance Corporation (IFC), an arm of the World Bank, proposed an investment of over $60 million in the UK-based firm Delonex Energy to fund further exploration and well equipment (Africa Research Bulletin, 2012). However, neighboring countries such as Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia contested the territorial boundaries, claiming that oil reserves extended into their territories, thus prohibiting drilling on the Kenyan side. This was compounded by institutionalized corruption in Kenya (Karasalihović Sedlar et al., 2017; Kyra Bos & Joyeeta Gupta, 2016), which strained international funding. The international community pressured Kenya to combat corruption, address its sovereign rating, and enforce fiscal discipline.

Main Project Risks and Their Impact on Stakeholders:

The risks associated with the project in Lake Turkana and its neighboring regions can be categorized as follows:

  1. Security Risks: Northern Kenya faced security challenges, with militant groups from Somalia using the area as a base for raids and livestock theft. These groups were better armed and trained than government forces, posing a significant threat to businesses (Karasalihović-Sedlar et al., 2017; Kyra Bos & Joyeeta Gupta, 2016). The government had to mobilize security measures before oil and gas companies could establish a permanent presence. Hostile local communities further complicated exploration and discouraged potential investors.
  2. Lack of Infrastructure: The Lake Turkana region had inadequate infrastructure, including roads and transportation facilities. Additionally, there were no refineries nearby, and the closest government-owned refinery was over 800 kilometers away. Due to security concerns, transporting crude oil via road tankers was deemed dangerous. The government’s refinery also needed substantial upgrades, costing over $2 billion, which was challenging given Kenya’s existing debt burden (Mkutu, 2014).

The Demand and Supply of Contract Markets and Their Impact:

Oil prices were volatile during the project’s timeline. While they were high in 2012 (Omari, 2011; Okoth, 2012), they later fell dramatically in 2015-2016. During this period, oil and gas discoveries in Kenya were in the appraisal phase, coinciding with OPEC countries pushing for production cuts due to low prices. To leverage this situation, Lake Turkana investors aimed to negotiate favorable terms in anticipation of rising oil prices. Despite lower demand for oil and gas, the project’s viability remained positive, and organizations like the World Bank supported the government in using the potential revenue to reduce poverty in the region (Africa Research Bulletin, 2012).

Ownership, Financing Configuration, and Credit Rating Challenges:

Kenya adopted two fiscal regimes, namely concession and Production Sharing Contracts (PSC) (Sammy Lutta, 2018; Deloitte, 2016). Due to Kenya’s fiscal constraints and low credit rating (Trade Economics, 2018), equity configuration funding models were employed as the government was not in a position to secure loans. China was approached for unsecured borrowing, although this decision faced criticism (Trade Economics, 2018). Kenya’s credit rating had been consistently low, below investment grade, due to its high debt levels, which limited the government’s borrowing capacity.

In conclusion, investing in hydrocarbon exploration and extraction projects in Kenya, particularly in regions like Lake Turkana, involved complex challenges related to security, infrastructure, fluctuating oil prices, and fiscal constraints. The project’s success depended on addressing these risks and uncertainties while fostering collaboration among stakeholders and ensuring equitable benefits for all parties involved.

References:

  1. Inkpen, A.C. & Moffett, M.H. (2011). The Global Oil & Gas Industry: Management, Strategy & Finance. Tulsa, OK: PennWell. [Online]. Available from: Link (Accessed: 12 Sept 2018). Chapters 4, ‘Developing Oil and Gas Projects’ (pp. 147-149), Chapter 5, ‘Production of Oil and Gas’ (pp. 190-198), Chapter 6, ‘Fiscal Regimes’ (pp. 232-235), 14, ‘Petrochemicals’ (pp. 530-531).
  2. EY (2016). Global Oil and Gas Tax Guide. [Online]. Available from: Link (Accessed: 12 Sept 2018).
  3. Macmillan, F. (2000). Risk, Uncertainty, and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream Oil and Gas Industry. Dissertation (Ph.D.), Aberdeen University. [Online]. Available from: Link (Accessed: 12 Sept 2018).
  4. Mkutu Agade, Kennedy (2014). ‘Ungoverned Space’ and the Oil Find in Turkana, Kenya. Vol. 103 Issue 5, p497-515. 19p. Available from: Link (Accessed: 19 August 2018).
  5. Omari, E. (2011). ‘Named: Kenya’s Richest and Poorest Counties,’ Daily Nation (Nairobi), 17 December. Available from: Link (Accessed: 19 August 2018).
  6. Okoth, D. (2012). ‘Chaos Looms Over Oil Revenue in Kenya.’ Link
  7. Sammy Lutta (2018). ‘Turkana Agrees to Oil Revenue Sharing Ratios.’
  8. Deloitte (2016). ‘Oil and Gas Taxation in Kenya.’ Link
  9. Kyra Bos & Joyeeta Gupta (2016). ‘Inclusive Development, Oil Extraction, and Climate Change: A Multilevel Analysis of Kenya,’ International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 23:6, 482-492. DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2016.1162217
  10. Africa Research Bulletin (2012). ‘Kenya: Oil-Fueled Border Disputes,’ Africa Research Bulletin: Economic, Financial & Technical Series, 8/16/2012, Vol. 49 Issue 8, p19674A-19674C. 2p. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-6346.2012.04733.x.
  11. Watkins, Eric (2012). ‘Tullow Sign Agreements to Complete the Farmout Deal,’ Oil & Gas Journal, Volume: 110 Issue 2a. ISSN: 0030-1388.
  12. Daria Karasalihović-Sedlar; Goran Barbir, Vladislav Brkić (2017). ‘Types of Fiscal Regime in Hydrocarbon Exploration and Production,’ The Mining-Geology-Petroleum Engineering Bulletin, pp. 45-54.
  13. Trade Economics (2018). Link

Effects of Speculation and Legislation in the Global Energy Market

Overview

Amidst a substantial volume of energy transactions occurring in the “dark web,” facilitated through unregulated platforms or “over-the-counter” (OTC) channels falling outside the purview of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), regulatory oversight is either absent or insufficient. In an endeavor to address the challenges posed by OTC trading, Jickling et al. (2008) highlight pivotal regulatory measures, particularly within the context of Farm Bills on page 12. These measures, proposed by the CFTC, aim to enforce accurate reporting by OTC traders and to establish limits on “electronic trading facilities handling contracts.” Personally, I advocate for the endorsement of the CFTC’s bill, which could furnish them with additional resources to ensure continuous, round-the-clock monitoring of energy derivatives markets, effectively identifying any suspicious activities that could potentially impact energy prices and prevent illicit speculative endeavors. In instances where companies are found culpable, I endorse the notion that their profit margins should be negated and their trading positions liquidated.

Introduction

The manipulation of global oil prices through illicit methods, including the unauthorized retention of oil contracts known as “hedging” and speculative activities, has been identified as a significant concern according to Mustapha (2012). The literature emphasizes that the fluctuation in oil prices, rising from $16 per barrel in 1998 to $98 in 2008, cannot be solely attributed to the interplay of supply and demand forces. Fan and Xu’s research (2011), as referenced by Mustapha, points towards speculative actions as a predominant cause of energy price volatility, rather than fundamental market factors. Simkins and Simkins (2013) recommend the implementation of regulatory measures to counteract financial manipulations such as disguised bulk purchasing under the guise of hedging contracts, which artificially inflate oil prices.

Impact of Illicit Hedging and Speculation on the Global Energy Market

The global energy market operates on the basis of flow demands and stock demands (Inkpen & Moffett, 2011). Insights from Inkpen et al.’s study highlight that both hedging and speculative practices have the potential to adversely affect future oil prices. Ripple (2008) asserts that, despite risk mitigation costs being inherent to oil and gas production, certain scholars argue that speculation is being exploited for detrimental ends (Wang et al., 2013).

Cho (2008) delves into a case involving a Swiss energy company, unveiling the manipulation of the company’s records through the unauthorized retention of oil contracts by organized syndicates. This maneuver, executed by the Swiss entity “Vitol” Portfolio, exerted control over a substantial proportion (11%) of regulated oil contracts on the New York Stock Exchange (Inkpen & Moffett, 2011).

Notable figures such as Hungarian-American George Soros and US legislators criticized this practice, asserting that the illicit holding of contracts exacerbated global oil price volatility. Cho (2008) cites the incredulity of John D. Dingel regarding the Commodity Futures Commission’s (CFTC) apparent oversight of traders like Vitol, enabling them to engage in extensive oil hedging without verifying the physical commodities supporting the trades (Hamilton, 2009).

Legislative Approaches to Mitigate Energy Price Volatility

G20 governments have initiated measures to enforce regulations aimed at restraining improper actions by financial investors who exploit hedging to manipulate global energy prices (Fattouh et al., 2013). CFTC investigations, conducted under the mandate of G20 governments, did not ascertain supply and demand as the primary drivers of energy price volatility.

Rather, CFTC uncovered evidence suggesting that hedgers and energy futures traders were striving to counteract energy prices. To address this concern, Jickling et al. (2008) and Wang et al. (2013) suggest a legislative framework comprising the “Enron Loophole,” “Swaps Loophole,” and “London Loophole.” These regulations aim to introduce oversight mechanisms, restrict the use of foreign futures markets in contravention of US legislation, and eliminate the practice of retaining contracts without engaging in physical oil trading.

The objective is to safeguard and provide support for “bona fide hedgers” who genuinely engage in the trade of physical commodities without participating in energy price manipulation.

References

  • Simkins, B. & Simkins, R. (eds.) (2013) “Energy Finance and Economics: Analysis and Valuation, Risk Management, and the Future of Energy.” Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
  • Inkpen, A.C. & Moffett, M.H. (2011) “The Global Oil & Gas Industry: Management, Strategy & Finance.” Tulsa, OK: PennWell [Online]. Available from: http://library.liv.ac.uk.liverpool.idm.oclc.org/record=b2632439~S8 (Accessed: 24 August 2018).
  • Hamilton, J.D., (2009). “Causes and Consequences of the Oil Shock of 2007-08” (No. w15002). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • R. D. Ripple, (2008) “Futures Trading: What is Excessive?” Oil & Gas Journal.
  • Cho, D., (2008). “A Few Speculators Dominate the Vast Market for Oil Trading.” Washington Post, 21, p.A01.
  • Fattouh, B., Kilian, L. and Mahadeva, L., (2013). “The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?” The Energy Journal, pp.7-33.
  • Jickling, M. and Cunningham, L.J., (2008). “Speculation and Energy Prices: Legislative Responses.” Congressional Research Service.
  • Wang, Y., Wu, C., & Yang, L., (2013). “Oil Price Shocks and Stock Market Activities: Evidence from Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries.” Journal of Comparative Economics, 41 (4), pp. 1220-1239.
  • Mustapha, U.M., (2012). “The Role of Speculation in the Determination of Energy Prices.” International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 2(4), pp.279-291.

Supplier Performance: Enhancing Procurement Efficiency and Quality Management

Introduction

The procurement process is critical for organizations to acquire the right items, of the right quality, at the right price, and in a timely manner to execute projects successfully within budget (Burt et al., 2011; Kraljic, 1983). Effectively managing suppliers necessitates continuous monitoring of their performance, especially when relying on external sources for materials, products, or services, as pointed out by Cheng (2001).

Aligning quality controls and governance with the overall corporate, business unit, and functional strategies is crucial to mitigate perceived supplier risks. To achieve this, a well-structured performance assessment matrix is needed to enable progress monitoring and assessments. Given the high-risk nature of the construction industry, leaders must analyze and develop viable strategies to manage procurement-related risks and mitigate potential negative impacts (Hannon, 2009). It is vital to communicate and share a structured supplier evaluation matrix, aligned with the company’s core values, with all stakeholders to achieve profitable leverage and improved return-on-assets (Hannon, 2009).

Managing Plant and Product Quality

Defects can be costly if discovered later in the process, emphasizing the importance of quality management plans (QCP) to respond effectively to defects. Evaluating suppliers’ performance facilitates engaging in a constructive dialogue and making suppliers aware of potential challenges associated with compromised product and service quality (Johnson et al., 2015). Despite having a solid and structured supplier evaluation and performance measurement matrix, APC’s case study showed quality issues arising from defective supplies from their single-source supplier, Branco (Johnson et al., 2015). Proper alignment of contractors’ contracting strategy with business requirements is essential to avoid legal challenges and potential litigations (Cheng, 2001).

Effective Communication and Coordination

Solid customer service, well-structured communication processes, and healthy relationships play key roles in resolving defects challenges within the system (Teague, 2007; Möller et al., 2003). Communication serves as a tool and medium for understanding each other’s needs and requirements, enhancing the probability of defect elimination in the process (Möller et al., 2003). Insufficient coordination can negatively impact efficiency and business objectives (Carter et al., 2007). To drive success and improve sustainability, a unified and collaborative approach is crucial (Carter et al., 2007). Performance evaluation enables organizations to maintain a competitive edge by collecting, measuring, and analyzing production data, aligning outcomes with strategic objectives (Johnson et al., 2015).

Analyzing Branco’s Performance as a Major Supplier

Branco, the single-source supplier of customized packaging cartons to APC, posed a high supply risk due to its dominance in the packaging market (Johnson et al., 2015). The high supply risk category, as identified by Kraljic (1983), allowed Branco to monopolize the market, creating unresolved supply risk issues for APC despite facing quality challenges in Branco’s production line (Johnson et al., 2015).

Strengths and Weaknesses

Branco exhibited top-class technical capability, capable of producing unique customized packing products in various sizes, meeting clients’ specific requirements (Teague, 2007). However, the compromise of quality standards over a long period led to deteriorating quality levels (Teague, 2007).

Impacts of Poor Quality

APC’s culture of customer service and proper governance enabled them to design and establish a well-structured supplier performance management assessment tool, ensuring the sustainability of their business and that of their suppliers (Kaplan et al., 1992). Noncompliance reports (NCR) were issued to address risks and defects. Despite warnings, Branco’s rating deteriorated due to unidentified defects in their fully automated production processes (Kaplan et al., 1992). APC faced a significant production loss but could not replace Branco due to its monopolized dominance.

Improving Supplier Performance: Lessons from Branco’s Case Study

Proper Definition of Business Strategy Supplier appointments must be value-driven and aligned with the organization’s business and functional strategies, weighing probable inputs required from the supplier (Carter et al., 2007). A supplier that can adapt to the buyer’s strategy, commit, and collaborate based on values and ethics is essential (Barringer et al., 2000). A unified business strategy between parties adds value and enhances customer confidence (Krause et al., 2007).

Developing and Implementing KPIs

Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) enable both parties to know their current status and desired direction (Kaplan et al., 1992). KPIs drive teams towards specific objectives and define how stakeholders value and rate the organization, facilitating retrospective analysis and future forecasting (Kaplan et al., 1992).

Promoting Healthy Communication and Collaborations

Engagement through 360-degree feedback serves as a baseline for a collaborative and healthy relationship, allowing constructive information sharing to minimize complexities within the system (Prahinski et al., 2004). Constant engagement helped Branco and APC manage defects challenges (Prahinski et al., 2004).

Monitoring Progress and Compliments

Continuous monitoring and reflection of past performance are crucial for shaping the future of both organizations. Planning and aligning supplier deliverables against agreed baselines facilitate progress monitoring and positive/negative feedback as needed, ensuring product quality and sustainability (Burt et al., 2011).

References

  • Kraljic, P. (1983) ‘Purchasing must become supply management’, Harvard Business Review, 61 (5), pp. 109–117
  • Cheng, E., Li, H., Love, P., & Irani, Z. (2001). An e-business model to support supply chain activities in construction. Logistics Information Management, 14(1-2), 66-78
  • Burt D., Petcavage S., Pinkerton R. (2011)  Proactive purchasing in the supply chain: the key to the world-class procurement. – McGraw_Hill, Inc.,
  • D. Hannon, (2009) “Purchasing Drives Deeper into Logistics,” Purchasing 138, no. 7 p. 76.
  • Johnson, P.F., & Flynn, A. E. (2015) Purchasing and supply management. 15th ed. McGraw-Hill Higher Education. ‘Supplier Evaluation and Supplier Relationships’, pp. 365-370
  • Möller, K. & Törrönen, P. (2003) ‘Business suppliers value creation potential: a capability-based analysis,’ Industrial Marketing Management, 32 (2), pp. 109–11
  • Gordon Sherry, (2005) Seven Steps To Measure Supplier Performance. Quality Progress, Aug2005, Vol. 38 Issue 8,
  • Teague, P. E. (2007),  “How to Improve Supplier Performance.” Purchasing 136, no. 4 pp. 1–32
  • Barringer, B. R., and J. S. Harrison. (2000) “Walking a Tightrope: Creating Value through Interorganizational Relationships.” Journal of Management 26, no. 3, pp. 367–403.
  • Krause, D. R.; R. B. Handfield; and B. B. Tyler. (2007),  “The Relationship Between Supplier Development, Commitment, Social Capital Accumulation and PerformanceImprovement.” Journal of Operations Management 25, no. 2 pp. 528–545.
  • Kaplan, R.S. & Norton, D.P. (1992) ‘The balanced scorecard – measures that drive performance’, Harvard Business Review, 70 (1),
  • Carter, P. L.; J. R. Carter; R. M. Moncska; J. D. Blascovich; T. H. Slaight; and W. L. Markham. (2007) Succeeding in a Dynamic World: Supply Management in the Decade Ahead. Tempe, AZ
  • Prahinski, C.,Benton,W.C.,(2004).Supplier evaluations: communication strategies to improve supplier performance. Operation management .22,39–62.

ARE YOU PREPARING FOR #PMP EXAMS?

Contact me at rephinus@yahoo.com

PMP® Exams Prep Resources

Top Resources used
1.       I want to be a PMP® group and ALL members https://www.linkedin.com/groups/2356441
2.       PMBok 5th Edition
3.       Rita-PMP® Exam Prep 8th Edition – Rita Mulcahy
5.       http://exam.pm-exam-simulator.com/index.php/exam Very good for feedback on any question, if you want to pass exam you must use this simulator
6.       http://www.pmzest.com/ The TOP BEST quality questions that covers the current exam change, if you want to pass exam you must use this simulator
7.       http://app.pmaspire.com/PMP/SampleTest/SelectedSampleTestArea- Very good simulator, you can generate your own questions, if you want to pass exam you must use this simulator
15.   Certgear offline application
16.   PMP izenbridge questions and videos
17.   PMP Lite Mock Exams Practice Questions—Answer Key and Explanations
18.   Oliver 75 and 175  Questions
19.   EdWEL PMP_Exam_Preparation_Boot_Camp_Participant_Manual_locked_5_2
My Questions pool were mostly concentrated on Procurement, Stakeholder with few on human resources, Risk and quality
Mobile application
My favorite app of all was PMP pocket prep

Conception of international Benchmarks for recruiting and deploying potential candidates for global project’s operations

The demand for global standardized project management profession that can be applied internationally when recruiting and deploying potential candidates for global project’s operations was a critical factor for the success of global projects as Crawford L. et al (2007) explained. This was “the why” TED. Simon Sinek (2010), as the explicit target that created the appetite that (Lenn, 1997, p. 2), indicates that during the North American free trade agreement that was signed in 1993, there were certain policies that could be fairly utilized to evaluate professionals. Professionals, associations and PM professionals were in dire need to come up with a collectively acceptable standard.
As part of the resolutions, Crawford L. et al (2007) pp7 listed the four initiatives that started combining existing global standards to be used as a benchmark internationally while recruiting and deploying potential candidates for global project’s operations
1. Global project management forum, (Pells, D. L. (1996) pp. ix-x
2. Global working groups
3. GAPPS working Groups (2002) was sponsored by South African (Services SETA)
4. OLCI (1998) (more…)

STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENTS IN PROJECT PLANNING

STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENTS IN PROJECT PLANNING
1. Introduction
Risk is the probability of failure multiplied by the consequences of failure. It is uncertain event or condition may have positive or negative effect if it occurs in the projects (Cost, Scope and Quality). The likelihood and impact if it occurred may be catastrophic depending on the size of the project. PMBOK® GUIDE, 4th Edition listed the six processes as planning for risks, Risk identification, Analyze qualitatively, analyze quantitatively, Plan responses and monitor and control of risks. These processes were summarized into three stages of Risk Assessments as, Preparing for risk assessment, Carrying out the assessment and Post assessment activity. Meredith, Jack R. (2012)

2. Definitions
Highly sophisticated and complex projects requires sophisticated detail risk assessment process that can provide detail quantity assessment in addition to simple qualitative assessments. Quantitative and qualitative research approaches are based on two scientific models, Natural science (Quantitative) and human science (qualitative) Gioia, D. A, et al 2012. Quantitative focus on static image and qualitative follow the more flexible open ended and circular process. (more…)

PROFESSIONAL RESUME

PROJECT CONTROLS/PROJECT PLANNER/TECHNOLOGIST
Operational executions, Stakeholder management, Risk management, Project Planning, Cost Control, Growth Strategies, Forensic analysis, EOT Claims, Turnaround and recovery Management, Technology and Manufacturing.

Rephinus Omoro: 46 Brettenwood, Dixon Road. Reyno Ridge. Witbank. 1049. South Africa Cel: +27 725101448-rephinus@yahoo.com

Operational Intelligence: My Career evolved in two major projects, 6 x 780 MW Coal Fired Super Boiler for the coal fired Medupi Power Project, in which I was task to plan for the preparation and supply of Steel for suppers boiler fabrication. This led to further training in the United States for the preparation and establishment of the Kusile Power Station supply Unit of Steel for supper boilers fabrication
(more…)

Impacts of a Complex Project and Uncertain Environment in the Planning Process

Impacts of a Complex Project and Uncertain Environment in the Planning Process
1. Introduction
Complex projects are available across industries and sectors. Complexity elements are internal and external (people, products and processes) as explained in Laureate Online Education (2014) Key Concept week 6. Vidal et al, 2011, p.719 defined complexity as the components of the project that may be difficult to understand due to unforeseen dynamic behaviors and thus managing these components may be extremely difficult unless uncertainties are properly quantified McLain, D. (2009). (more…)

FINANCIAL AID: COST OF MSc Project Management

COST OF MSc Project Management
Am currently pursuing MSc Project management at the University of Liverpool, and due to financial constraints am looking for Sponsorship/donors that can assist me with the fee payments.
I have completed
1. Project and Portfolio Management in an Organization (Complete. B)
2. Planning for Risk, Uncertainty and Complexity (Complete. B+)

Remaining Modules
1. Executing, Controlling and Closing Projects
2. Sustainable Programme and Portfolio Management
3. Leading and Managing Project Teams
4. Strategic Purchasing Management
Specialization modules
1. Project Management in Construction
2. Integrated Infrastructure Project Management
Please if you can assist me or knows someone that can offer financial support please contact me on rephinus@yahoo.com or +2772510148

(more…)

STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE APPROACHES TO ASSESSING RISKS

STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE APPROACHES TO ASSESSING RISKS AT THE PLANNING STAGE
1. Introduction
Risk is the probability of failure multiplied by the consequences of failure. It is uncertain event or condition may have positive or negative effect if it occurs in the projects (Cost, Scope and Quality). The likelihood and impact if it occurred may be catastrophic depending on the size of the project. PMBOK® GUIDE, 4th Edition listed the six processes as planning for risks, Risk identification, Analyze qualitatively, analyze quantitatively, Plan responses and monitor and control of risks. These processes were summarized into three stages of Risk Assessments as, Preparing for risk assessment, Carrying out the assessment and Post assessment activity. Meredith, Jack R. (2012)

(more…)

HYDRO-ELECTRIC. PUMPED-STORAGE POWER PLANT PROJECT

INGULA PUMPED-STORAGE POWER PLANT PROJECT
ESKOM- South Africa

Introduction
The passion that I have for technology and clean renewable energy with rigor to fight global warming, and reducing air pollution, has been a deciding factor on the type of my project research paper. My approach in this research is to start looking at the project from feasibility phase and investigate the risks that must be positively mitigated, and further look at the construction and finally commissioning/ sign off.
In South Africa and Africa as a whole, Electricity demand is critical. Sources of clean energy such us wind power, solar energy can only be available at certain times. Pumped storage power plant is a conventional hydro system with underground water ways passing through the turbine to the lower dam/river. Water is stored and recycle back to the top dam and electric demand is generated when needed and has no shelf life. The process provides a reduced environmental impact, emission free renewable source. [Online] Gibbs.co.za Projects. Accessed 21/11/2014

(more…)

WHY PORTFOLIO OF PROJECTS IS IMPORTANT FOR ORGANIZATION’S STRATEGIC INITIATIVES

“The graveyard is the richest place on earth, because it is here that you will find all the hopes and dreams that were never fulfilled, the books that were never written, the songs that were never sung, the inventions that were never shared, the cures that were never discovered, all because someone was too afraid to take that first step, keep with the problem, or determined to carry out their dream.” Les Brown.
Reflecting on Les Brown’s quote and relating it to a portfolio of projects and strategic initiatives, you will realize that there are several un-initiated strategies within organizations, likewise several living human beings with dreams that are just collecting dust, which will end up in graveyards, though some dreams were spoken several decades ago, they are still fresh and effective in our minds, such as “I have a dream” Martin Luther King Jr 28 August1963.
http://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/mlkihaveadream.htm (accessed 02/08/2014),
This (dream) strategy unless properly initiated you cannot WIN.

(more…)

Construction industry Culture in the (T5)-Terminal 5 Heathrow Airport Project

Every organization has ways, systems and procedures how they do things, as Einwohner, RL; et al (2006) states that these may later become norms that are gradually built into the culture. When you join a new company, and you try and challenge any procedure, they will always tell you “that’s how we do things here,” implementing changes will always face resistance and may also take longer unless the top management supports the idea of change. There has to be a climate change within the organization for any change to happen.
Culture is “a system of knowledge shared by relatively large group of people,” Hofstede, G.H. (1994) this always based on values and beliefs which can be displayed by employees within the organization. T 5 project displayed some critical teamwork values through collaborations, as explained by Davies, A. et al (2009). This ceremonious event that was observed when a team successfully achieve their milestone they will pass a rock to the winning team and get rewarded for the job well done, Doherty, S. (2008), states that they maintained the culture so as to keep the team spirit up. (more…)

UK and UAE Project Managers – Monochronic Mentality and Polychronic Mentality

Some key differences and perceptions between Arab and British project managers has be identified by some scholars as the battle between Monochronic and Polychronic. Rees-Caldwell. et al-(2013) indicated that UAE employs 12,000 expatriates from the UK and Thomas and Pinto (1999) believes that managing multicultural project teams is a critical factor.
(more…)

Design a site like this with WordPress.com
Get started